- What time do we have a winner?
How late a night will political observers and campaigns have? In 2008 and 2012, major networks and news organizations projected a victory for President Obama on the early side at around 11 p.m. or shortly thereafter, once polls had closed on the West Coast and blue states like California could be added to Mr. Obama’s electoral vote totals.
- What’s the winner’s electoral vote margin?
Then Sen. Barack Obama won the 2008 presidential race with 365 electoral votes, well above the 270 necessary to be elected president.
He won by a slightly smaller but still decisive margin in 2012, taking 332 electoral votes to Republican Mitt Romney’s 206.
- Latino turnout
One prediction for 2016 when Trump became the Republican nominee was that he would drive Latino turnout to new highs for his opponent.
In 2012, exit polls found that Mitt Romney received only 27 percent of the Hispanic vote nationally, a fact that certainly helped doom him in Hispanic-heavy states like Florida, Nevada and Colorado.
Preliminary early voting numbers suggest that there’s a massive increase among Latino voters in 2016, including in the key battleground state of Florida.
The first round of polls, in a handful of states across the East Coast, will close at 7 p.m. ET, the last state to close is Alaska, where polls are open until 1 a.m. ET.
With tight races in a handful of battleground states, the night has the potential to be a long one.